Understanding the Forecasting Chart

Hover and move your cursor over the Forecasting chart to view particular dates. The chart has the following ranges of your forecasted security rating:

• Current Rating
• User Defined Forecast
• No Action Forecast

Current Rating

The Current Rating showing the trend line is depicted as a solid, black line in the chart.

User Defined Forecast

The User Defined Forecast is a projection of how the security rating can change over time with an acceptable level of reliability, illustrating the potential variability in future security ratings. It is depicted with a dark blue and light blue band:

• The inner dark blue band depicts between the 25th and 75th percentiles, representing a 50% probability.
• The outer light blue band represents between the 5th and 95th percentiles, extending the certainty to encompass a total of 90%.

No Action Forecast

The No Action Forecast shows the probability of how the security rating can change over time if no scenario has been applied. It’s based on all the history of all companies. It is depicted as a navy and gray range.